Bellator 209 Betting Tips & Predictions
The latest offering from the hugely popular Bellator MMA series comes to us from the Menora Mivtachim Arena in Tel Aviv on Thursday 15 November: Bellator 209. It will be shown on a number of major television networks around the world; this will allow casual fans, armchair followers of MMA and dedicated sports betting punters the chance to get in on the action as it happens.
Sold under the headline act Pitbull vs Sanchez, we have Patricio Freire taking on Emmanuel Sanchez in the main event. That has fans excited. The featherweight blockbuster isn’t the evening’s only action, of course. The main fight card also consists of Haim Gozali v Ryan Couture at welterweight; Phil Davies v Vadim Nemkov at light heavyweight; Cindy Dandois v Olga Ruben women’s featherweight and Adam Keresh v Kirill Sidelnikov from the heavyweight platform.
There’s also a full preliminary card that can be picked up on subscription to certain channels and services; this includes Bellator.com and the Bellator Mobile App. The pick of that schedule is Khonry Gracie v Ron Becker, Aviv Gozali v Anton Lazebnov and Ido Halfon v Itay Tratner.
More Than Enough to Keep You Busy
With the fights finalised and the TV coverage sorted it’s now up to you to pick your winners from the night; the bookmakers are offering you the chance to back your opinions with cold, hard cash. If you feel strongly enough about your views why not invest in them with a bet, either as a single or throw a few together to make a big priced accumulator?
Who knows, with the right result and a helping of good fortune on the night you could very well find yourself being paid to watch MMA. Now, doesn’t that sound like a great scenario? There are lots of markets to hold your interest too, including fight winner and method of victory.
The fight winner is pretty self-explanatory. All you have to do is get your money down on the competitor you expect to have their hand raised at the end of the contest and, if you’re right, your bookie of choice will pay you out a profit, depending on the odds at the time your wager was struck.
Method of victory is a little trickier to get right but it’s no less popular with experienced backers and the rewards are greater. Here you must decide on who you think will win the bout and how they will achieve it – on points, by submission or knockout/technical knockout.
To win your bet you must get both correct, so it’s not for everyone, but if you do a bit of homework on the two sharing the octagon, you’ll often get a feel for the trends and past performances.
Let’s apply that to fight of the night – Patricio Freire v Emmanuel Sanchez.
Pitbull Lives Up to His Name
31-year-old Brazilian Patricio Freire carries the nickname ‘Pitbull’ and that’s no joke or gimmick. The Natal-born scrapper, fighting out of his home city in north eastern Brazil, has a style heavily dependant on Brazilian jiu-jitsu Undoubtedly, the blackbelt has used that to great effect in the sport of mixed martial arts.
He boasts a record of 27 wins from 31 starts with 11 by submission, nine by knockout and seven judges decisions. On the other side of that record, he has lost four times but only one of those came inside the distance, suffering three defeats on the cards, proving just how hard he is to shift. His exciting style has won him fans the world over and it’s little surprise to see him go in as the poster boy for Bellator 209.
The two-time featherweight champion comes from a successful fighting family; his brother, Patricky Freire, has had success of his own. This will be only his second outing of the year; however, after seeing his progress hampered by injury.
He beat Daniel Straus by submission on Bellator 178 back in April of last year for the featherweight world championship; he was then expected to build on that success when matched with Daniel Weichel on Bellator 188 later that year. That fight fell through due to reported multiple injuries; however, fans did get the match they were hoping for in the summer of 2018.
Freire Wins a Tight Decision in Rome
Pitbull beat German Weichel in Rome on the Bellator 203 card, making a successful defence of his title thanks to a hard-fought split decision over five rounds. It was the first time he had been dragged to the final bell since 2015. Having said that, it was a deserving, albeit tight, result.
Will he complete the hat-trick? That remains to be seen. However, it’s fair to say the stats don’t exactly back it up as Freire has struggled for consistency in recent outings; his last five results read loss-win-loss-win-win. Indeed, we have to go back to June 2015 to find the last time he was able to put an extended run of victories together.
The defeats on his recent record came at the hands of Daniel Straus in St. Louis November 2015 when dropping his title by decision; then Benson Henderson before an entertained Californian crowd on 160, the TKO a result of a leg injury. The latter was up at lightweight, so is easy enough to forgive.
Sanchez No Mere Opponent
Emmanuel Sanchez may be billed as a bit of an underdog by some in this fight; however, that really shouldn’t be the case. It would be far more accurate to call the 28-year-old from Milwaukee a talented individual. He is known for his determination and willingness to fight any opponent at almost any weight. To date, he has campaigned at featherweight, lightweight and welterweight and hasn’t disgraced himself in either category.
El Matador has also stayed true to his roots, fighting out of the city of his birth. The 5ft 9inch gladiator has a CV showing 17 wins from 20 fights. Although only one to date has come by knockout; that should give a major clue to casual followers on how he’s expected to approach this match-up. Nine of his victories have come from the judges, with seven by submission.
That suggests the longer this fight lasts, the more chance he’ll have of winning it, given the fact his opponent is no stranger to a points defeat. However, to achieve that and put the outcome in the judges’ hands he’ll need to stand up to the power of Freire and come through a barrage of heavy-handed attacks on-route.
El Matador Arrives on a Run of Victories
Unlike the man standing in front of him, Emmanuel does show strong recent form. He has a winning run stretching back four fights, covering almost two years. His last loss came to Daniel Weichel on a split decision on Bellator 159 in Kansas July 2016; however, he fired back to win each of his next four.
That purple patch includes a decision over Georgi Karakhanyan on 170; a decision vs Marcos Galvao on 175; the submission of Daniel Straus on the night of 184 and, most recently, a submission win over Sam Sicilia at 198 courtesy of an arm-triangle choke in Illinois.
He’ll not be without his fans in Israel on what promises to be a memorable night of MMA, but does he have enough skill in the tank to bite back at the Pitbull and silence the doubters? We reckon he just might…
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