Sat 10th November Horse Racing Betting Tips & Predictions
It’s time for this weekend’s horse racing betting tips. Saturday brings another exciting card of UK and Irish horse racing, with meetings scheduled at Aintree, Chelmsford, Doncaster, Wincanton, Kelso, and plenty more besides. There are a couple of decent graded races on the list with the pick of the bunch going at the Somerset track.
Wincanton racecourse hosts a seven-leg meet, taking followers from the National Hunt Novices Hurdle at 12.40pm to the finale, a NH Flat Race at 4.10pm. There’s plenty to catch the attention of punters between the two with three races of particular note sure to be popular.
The Mares Handicap Hurdle at 1.50pm; Rising Stars Novices Chase 2.25pm, and Handicap Chase 3.35pm are the standouts. So, that’s where we focus our attentions, aiming to nudge followers in the direction of a profit.
Hunts Food Service Mares’ Handicap Hurdle
This class two mares handicap hurdle will be decided over the 2m 5f trip and we have an expected field of 10 runners. With over 16,000 paid out in prize money to the eventual champion, it’s no surprise to see we have some famous names in attendance, including trainers Paul Nicholls and Philip Hobbs.
Last year’s winner was Lamanver Odyssey who scored for the partnership of jockey Aidan Coleman and trainer Harry Fry. The victor delighted backers that day when coming home carrying a 6/1 SP; he ended up 2 ¼ lengths ahead of runner-up Midnight Tune under the ride of David Noonan at 33/1. Bryrony Frost completed the major places when getting Jessber’s Dream a bronze medal at 10/1; meanwhile, the pre-race favourite Secret Door was last of nine confirmed finishers.
A bitterly disappointing performance from the jolly last time may just put a few backers off siding with the shortest price here. If you’re eager to follow the ante-post betting, you’ll find the majority of the early money has come for If You Say Run, who can be found at 7/2.
Question Marks Over the Favourite
The six-year-old arrives at track with a CV reading three wins and three seconds from just seven starts; that’s thoroughly impressive stuff. It’s no wonder those in the know are keen to keep her close. The bay – trained by Paul Nicholls – got off to a perfect start when winning on debut around Chepstow back in April of 2017. Those with a shrewd eye are able to back her at 6/4. She doubled-up next time, going two-for-two with a win at the same track next season, a rather more generous 4/1 the pay-out on that occasion.
Despite winning three of her first four outings, If You Say Run hasn’t appeared in the winner’s enclosure since last December. There she collected a mares novices hurdle over the snappier 1m 7f trip, beating Bee Crossing by a monster 11 lengths.
Since then, she found only one too good at Taunton when campaigning over two miles. She was well beaten by Maria’s Benefit, and 2m 3f at Sandown when knocked down by Midnight Tune by a margin just shy of three lengths. She was pulled-up last time and that may suggest there’s better out there at a friendlier price.
Her main rivals, according to the betting, will be Little Miss Poet who is 9/1.
Rising Stars’ Novices Chase
One of the best races of the day in Britain, the Grade 2 Rising Stars Novices Chase will put some of the most promising horses on the circuit to the test over 2m 4f. There will be £18,000+ paid to connections of the winner. Again, 10 runners can be found in the programme at this stage and Bags Groove appears to be the best of them. He certainly carries the backing of bookmakers and punters, that’s for sure.
Modus was a famous winner of this contest last year, when coming good for Sam Twiston-Davies and Paul Nicholls; the latter is well-placed to strike at two-in-a-row with Dynamite Dollars and Secret Investor carrying the torch this time. A successful defence would come as no great surprise to race goers and Dynamite is current 7/2 second favourite, Coral being the most generous firm on that one.
That’s a price shared by stablemate Secret Investor, although some firms are as tight as 7/4 on the same runner. That’s interesting and will certainly catch the attention of value hunters. Back enough 7/4 shots at 7/2 and there’s no doubt you’ll make a profit over the course of a season, finding them it the difficult bit.
Value on the Jolly
Having said that, it’s also worth knowing there’s real value available on the market leader. Ladbrokes offers Bags Groove at the same 7/2, while some of their main rivals give him much more respect, offering no more than 2/1. Again, that’s quite a difference in price; we would suggest he’s worth having a small play on to secure your share of the value. A larger bet, if you think he’s good enough to win.
The Harry Fry trained seven-year-old gelding is another never far away from the prizes; he has won six and finished second five times from 14 goes. Unlike ‘If You Say Run’, much of that winning form is recent and he’ll turn up on the day on the back of victory in his last start, winning at Ffos Las in October. A 2m 4f contest, Bags Groove had been written off by the money men heading to post; however, he paid little attention, showing rivals the way home at a cracking 8/1.
Runner-up Jester Jet – also priced 8/1 – crossed the line two lengths behind the winner, with Tommy Rapper in third a further dozen off the pace. A convincing victory and one that won Bags Groove a healthy intake of new fans. If reproducing that kind of form, we’re sure he’ll go extremely close to repeating the feat. Others wort a mention at a bigger price are One For Billy 25/1.
Unibet Elite Hurdle
Top of the bill at Wincanton and it’s a race well worth waiting for as the official start time has been marked down as 3.00pm. Another Grade 2 event, 1m 7f lies between the field and their crack at £34,170. The ante-post markets were made available earlier in the week and We Have A Dream is expected to attract a fair share of interest heading to race day.
London Prize came out on top last time when scoring for Ian Williams and Tom O’Brien, leading favourite Lough Derg Spirit by three lengths, Flying Tiger posting third at 4/1. Again, the fact the favourite failed to live up to expectations won’t be lost on those who like to keep the trends and past performances in mind when planning their assault on the bookies.
What’s Known About Henderson’s Hope?
Four-year-old gelding We Have A Dream comes at us under the Nicky Henderson banner. He carries a pristine, 100% record to track, having won each of his previous five visits to a major race track. That all started when scoring at Warwick last autumn. An impressive showing but few could’ve guessed what the winner had in store for us. He’s since went on to do the business at Doncaster, Chepstow, Mussleburgh and, most recently, Ascot when winning a juvenile hurdle over two miles, ahead of the talented Gumball who was seven lengths worse off, 13/8 favourite Apples Shakira third, another 10 lengths behind.
That Grade 1 success really won over neutrals and those still unconvinced. It comes as little surprise to us, or anyone who saw him winning at Ascot, that he’s favourite when dropping down a grade. We Have A Dream should have far too much quality for them and that’s the thinking of those who hold the purse strings.
Verdana Blue is 8/1. All capable horses and all carrying a price we think is a little bigger than expected. That’ll have more to do with the favourite’s form than any mistake they have made.
Check out more top horse racing betting strategies.