Everton v Leicester
Let’s look at the new year games; here are our Jan 1 Premier League betting tips. We’re into a new year; we’re half-way through the season and still most followers of the English Premier League don’t quite know what to expect from Everton. There’s no doubt The Toffees are a talented side and, on paper, there’s quality right through the squad. They have a capable, experienced manager at the helm; however, a lack of consistency means they’re not living up to their potential and it will take a big push in the early stages of 2019 to see them anywhere near where we expected them to finish up when making our predictions back in pre-season.
December just about summed up the side perfectly as they continued to blow hot and cold. They pushed Liverpool all the way before falling to a goal deep into injury-time at the end up the match; however, they then went and drew at home against a poor Newcastle side. Another home match against an average Watford saw two more points carelessly chucked away, ending 2-2. A 3-1 loss at the Etihad was to be expected but it meant the club conceded seven goals in their first four games of probably the most important month of the year and after 17 played they showed stats of 6-6-5.
Foxes Failing to Impress
For more information on how Leicester City’s season has gone so far, see above. The Foxes were almost as promising as their opponents back in the summer when experts were evaluating teams; however, they too have under-performed for much of the campaign. A miserable start meant manager Claude Puel was chalked up as favourite to be the first man to lose his job this campaign. However, he managed to turn things around and saw his price ease as he was overtaken by Manchester United’s misfiring gaffer Jose Mourinho.
Leicester were able to get back on track in autumn and heading into the thick of winter; they’ve now pulled themselves clear of the danger zone. After 17 games they sat in mid-table with stats of 6-4-7; however, they also suffered a poor December that did nothing to inspire fans for the months ahead. Leicester beat Watford 2-0 at the King Power but took just one point from the next nine available, drawing with Fulham before losing back-to-back matches at the hands of Tottenham and Crystal Palace. They did push Man City close in the League Cup, ending 1-1 before being eliminated on penalties. However, they remedied this with a win over Man City on Boxing Day.
This Will be Interesting
The recent form of both teams shows us there’s not a lot between the rivals; however, if either play to the best of their abilities they could win the match. This looks a 50/50 so, with that in mind, we really wouldn’t put anyone off a bet on the away side who carry the better price as they rate as the value at odds of 3/1 at Bet365 . Leicester winning certainly wouldn’t shock anyone who follows the top-flight of English football.
We prefer to avoid the unpredictability of the match betting, however, and will go with both teams to score at odds of 4/5 at Bet365 . We take confidence from the stats as that would’ve been a winning bet in three of Everton’s first four December games and we’re confident Leicester will be good enough to take the chances that will come their way. A bet best used as an addition to the accumulator of the day; price will help boost returns.
Arsenal v Fulham
The second of our Jan 1 Premier League betting tips is for Arsenal v Fulham. We’re off to the Emirates in North London for our second game of the day where Arsenal look to get the jump on the top-four and pour pressure on the sides rated above them in the pecking order. The first-half of the season must go down as a success for new Arsenal manager Unai Emery as he has transformed the club, modernising the coaching structure and bringing in exciting new players who have enhanced the squad. It really would come as no surprise to see them achieve their pre-season aim of finishing in the top-four, but there’s much work to be done if they are to get themselves over the line and win an overdue return to Champions League football.
The hosts set-up for this London derby on the back of a strong December where highlights include a stunning 4-2 win over bitter rivals Tottenham at this venue in what was a memorable outing for fans. Aubameyang scored a double that day and his goals were added to by Lacazette and Torreira, the beaten side responding through Dier and Kane in a game they never looked like getting anything from. Arsenal followed that with a hard-fought 2-2 at Old Trafford before dealing out a 1-0 at home to Huddersfield. The locals will train for this one confident the fixture gives them the perfect opportunity to get the year off to a flying start.
Cottagers in Trouble
Fulham have struggled since their return to the Premier League and, at this stage of the season, look likely to suffer the humiliation of relegation straight back down to the Championship. The Cottagers won only two of their first 17 games at this level and that left them rooted to the bottom with nine points on the board and -26 in their goal difference tally. They are in serious danger of drifting off the pace and spending most of the games to come with nothing to play for, unless they act quickly.
The visitor’s season went from bad to worse during December when they were beaten by Chelsea at Stamford Bridge – a result most would’ve expected – were held to a draw by Leicester at home despite dominating the match; they were hammered 4-1 by a Manchester United team who were low on confidence; this was followed by suffering a 2-0 beating in front of their own fans when neighbours West Ham made the short trip across the city from Stratford. Not the easiest run of games but they would’ve certainly expected to take more points, given their current predicament.
Strong Home Win
Bookmakers have this one marked down as a strong home win, with best odds of 5/19 at Unibet; of course, we really can’t blame them for that. This is a meeting of two sides with very different fortunes and the gulf in class should show in the final result. Arsenal are a short price jolly and that may put a few off but they can be used in addition to your accumulator of the day. Fulham carry an attractive quote, but we wouldn’t advise risking your stake money with a bet on the away win.
That leads us into the specials and we’re going with a punt on Arsenal -1 goal on the handicap and an interest bet on Arsenal to win to nil. Arsenal hammered Fulham 5-1 when the sides met in the reverse of this fixture back in October and something similar looks to be on the cards. The Gunners also swaggered to a 2-0 cheer when last hosting Fulham. Follow our thinking for a better price of 13/10 at Coral.
Cardiff v Tottenham
Cardiff fans haven’t had an awful lot to cheer in the opening few months of the season and have spent much of the campaign in and around the relegation zone. It remains to be seen if they’ll have the quality to fend off relegation come the final tally; however, things certainly won’t get any easier as the curtain goes up on January with the Welsh club inviting high-flying Tottenham to town. The locals need the points to edge themselves clear of the danger zone but look to have a real job on their hands if they’re to get the desired result.
Tottenham can be found at the opposite end of the pecking order and are pushing hard for a place in the top-four and another season spent enjoying the riches of Champions League football. At present they have Arsenal and Chelsea for company as three sides look to force their way into the two places left behind by Liverpool and Man City. If they are to live up to expectations this is a match they must win but we expect them to do just that, and with a bit to spare too. Back Tottenham win and both teams to score for a better price of 41/20 at 888sport.
Chelsea v Southampton
The last of our Jan 1 Premier League betting tips is Chelsea v Southampton. A home match against a relegation threatened side gives Chelsea the perfect opportunity to get 2019 off to the perfect start and bookmakers have them priced as favourites to do just that at 2/7 at Coral. The Blues strengthened their claims on a top-four finish with recent wins over Brighton and Bournemouth and we’re backing them to dish out similar punishment to The Saints. Take Chelsea to win both halves if you’re after more of a price of 20/23 at Coral.
Southampton have been miserable so far this season and are in real danger of being relegated. They won just two of their first 17 and conceded 32 goals in the same period. That sort of defending will catch the eye of the Chelsea attack who should have no problems helping themselves to a few goals. The visitors did beat Arsenal in a stunning upset on 16 December, but we shouldn’t see anything like a repeat performance here. Home win is the bet.