Saturday 27th October Horse Racing Betting Tips & Predictions
This weekend’s horse racing betting tips takes well into the National Hunt horse racing season; Saturday sees the schedule move up a notch with some big meetings to sort through. Eagled-eyed punters can pick out the best value the ante-post markets have to offer earlier in the week or bide their time, waiting to follow the market movers on race day, seeing who attracts the smart money.
There are four races of note taking place on Saturday at Cheltenham and our team of horse racing experts have run the rule over each, returning with their views on who you should trust with your stake money.
Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Chase
3m 1f lies ahead of a talented field at Prestbury Park with the flag dropping at 2.00pm. A maximum field of 20 runners is allowed here; each will fancy their chances of capturing the prize pot for connections’ However, bookmakers believe you should look no further than Singlefarmpayment.
The eight-year-old, trained by Tom George, arrives with a career record of three wins and nine placed efforts from 22 starts. He hasn’t popped his head in front since scoring at this venue in December 2016 when winning a Novices Chase over this trip, beating Arpege D’alene into second off a starting price of 9/2. Since then, the jolly has finished second twice, been pulled-up and fell. Not the most convincing run of form and it looks worth taking a chance on a bigger price.
Shantou Village could be the one for value hunters to side with. The eight-year-old gelding is currently trading at 14/1 with Ladbrokes and won on his penultimate start, doing the business over 2m 7f in a handy Handicap Chase at Worcester when sent off a 3/1 jolly. He brings eight victories and two places from 17 and that is enough to catch our attention.
Masterson Holdings Hurdle
Traders are in no two minds who to support in this race and all the ante-post money has come for We Have A Dream, currently available at no better than 6/4. Nicky Henderson’s four-year-old brings an eye-catching 100% record showing five wins from five goes.
That purple patch got moving on debut at Warwick when doing as expected at 4/5; he has carried the bookies’ faith on the majority of outings since. His most impressive showing to date came last time out around Aintree in a Juvenile Hurdle over two miles. He won at 2/1 ahead of 20/1 runner-up Gumball who crossed the line seven lengths behind.
We Have A Dream is a supremely talented horse and seems to get better with every outing, as shown by his wide margin of victory last time. What’s exciting is that there seems to be plenty more improving left in him and it’s little wonder punters are clambering to keep close. It rarely pays to oppose a horse in this kind of form, so we don’t suggest that you do.
Others from the field worth a mention in midweek are Redicean at top price 3/1 with Coral, Gumball 5/1 at the same firm – worth a second look after that effort behind We Have A Dream – and Style de Garde who makes plenty of sense, especially when carrying a 7/1 price tag.
Randox Health Handicap Chase
Open to four-year-olds and above there’s a cracking prize paid out to the winner of this two-mile, class two race. The early betting suggests it’ll take all the solving. There’s a fair share of attractive prices floating around however, so it’s well worth putting in the leg-work.
The clues taken from the ante-post market suggest Foxtail Hill is the one to be on and traders have him as favourite. However, it’s not exactly convincing and the fact there’s a 5/1 price put on the jolly by Coral shows just how open this contest should be. Some firms go shorter, but there’s nothing worse than 9/2 at the time of writing with second-favourite Bigmartre at 6/1 (William Hill).
Modus Makes More Sense
Nigel Twiston-Davies trains this experienced nine-year-old gelding. His stats suggest he shouldn’t be written off – with five wins, a second and two thirds making up a 25-race CV. His last victory came in October of 2017 when winning this very race. He finished the marginal victor at 15/2 over Le Prezien who was beaten a neck as 5/2 fav. The winner that day deserved his prize but there wasn’t a lot to suggest he should be backed to go on a run of form; that worked out to be accurate.
Since that success, the bay has featured five times and finished no closer than sixth. His two most-recent outings show he was 11th at the festival over two miles in the Grand Annual Challenge Cup, a race won by Le Prezien, and second from last at Ayr in a handicap chase back in April, Theinval doing the business north of the border that day.
Apart from last year’s slight victory in this contest there’s nothing to encourage backers to support him as favourite, so we’re not going to. Instead we’ll let our stake money ride on plucky underdog Modus who can be backed at around the 6/1 mark.
Paul Nicholls’ hope brings far better recent form and has won half of his last six. That run started when claiming the cheque at Bangor in a Novices Chase over 2m 4f last year, which he followed up in a similar race at Wincanton a month later. Fell at Exeter when chasing the hat-trick then was seen winning before a Kempton crowd when bagging the Graduation Chase earlier this year.
Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle
We have three miles to find the winner of this year’s renewal of the class two series qualifier; although it remains to be seen which horses from the ante-post list will make up the final field, traders have pushed the weight of their support behind Theclockisticking, but only slightly. The six-year-old representing Stuart Edmunds is 7/1 favourite but, again, there looks to be better available.
Six-year-old gelding Theclockisticking carries a racecourse record of wins and five places from nine. Impressive enough, but that inexperience could prove to be his undoing against talented opponents who have seen it all before. The jolly won two of his first three – ending second on debut – but has been less impressive in recent starts and goes winless in six. Ended fifth last time at Chepstow over 2m 3f in grade 3 company, Garo De Juilley pulling off a shock when leading them home off an SP 25/1.
Brave mare with great form
Culture de Sivola is next in line and there’s more to like about the French import who carries the Nick Williams’ banner. She has won five of 16, bagging a place on another four occasions and will arrive at track going in search of a hat-trick after winning each of her last two.
Victory at Taunton in a 2m 7f handicap hurdle on soft ground got the ball rolling and she led home 9/1 shot Summerset Jim by ½ a length, race favourite Camron De Chaillac forced to pull-up. Impressive, and she was able to build on that when booking a spot in the winner’s enclosure next time out at Haydock in March.
Still the bookies wouldn’t support him and Culture de Sivola went off a bulky 16/1 supposed also-ran. It made no difference to the plucky mare’s chances and she crossed the line 1 ¼ lengths ahead of nearest rival Head To The Stars at 10/1, joint-fav Hatchet Jack making up the major prize places.
The improving six-year-old seems to be coming on for every run; followers of the form can’t help but notice her copybook with three wins and a third in her last five. She has proven her ability to go on testing ground, which should prove to be a factor here; she has bags of stamina when running over the longer trips; this is a brave mare who seems to appreciate the job at hand and, above all else, continues to defy bookmakers who are always keen to take her chances lightly. If she wins here that certainly won’t happen again, so get the price while you can.
Others worth a mention
In the early stages of the week the ante-post list is bustling with activity, traders seemingly at a loss to nail down a convincing favourite. That will be music to the ears of those who love capitalising on that uncertainty and it’s worth acting early in this one.
Other runners worth a mention are Moon Racer 14/1, The Organist 14/1, Dawn Raider 16/1, Folsom Blue 16/1 and Wait For Me who also carries that 16/1 price. Follow our thinking, or chance your luck on one with bigger odds.