Scoring a Home Run with Baseball Strategies
Let’s travel over the pond and look at some great baseball betting strategies. Baseball doesn’t sound like a typically ‘British’ sport. However, being from the cricket family, it’s pretty easy to get the hang of if you’re a fan of the willow. Forget about the Americans, we’re bringing it over to the UK where we can start making some serious wedge from getting those betting strategies correct.
The great thing about baseball is that it is different from so many of the other big-name sports out there. It is easier to research and make those winning sports bets on because of the length of the season and the huge amount of data available. This makes betting options, strategies and success rates better than many other sports. It still needs work though… so we’re going to help you find out the best predictions and strategies to hit a home run with the winnings.
However, before we guide you through the best ways to win, we’re going to help you understand how to approach baseball betting before you start picking your bets. Like many other sports, there are many factors you need to take on board before you make your bet. By the time you leave this guide to baseball betting, you’ll feel like you know the sports back to front and will be hitting those wins out the park.
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Considerations of Baseball Betting
Obviously, the first thing you need to think about is picking the right sportsbook for baseball betting. Then you need to get yourself a decent understanding of Major League Baseball – alongside the history of the game. You can then handicap games and start to understand and model how a game will play out.
We’ll help you understand what information you will need to study when trying to estimate how the game will turn out. This is just the start of what you need to know, however. The deeper you go into the sport, the better.
Understanding the Starting Pitcher
Arguably, the most important position in a game of baseball is the starting pitcher. Whether they have a good day or bad day determines the overall success of the team more than any other. This explains why the odds are much better when an ‘ace pitcher’ is starting the game.
Many casual baseball bettors will look only at the starting pitchers when they choose what bet they are going to make. To make the decision, they will just look at the two starting pitcher’s stats and use only that to decide the bet to make. However, as you might imagine, this strategy is just too simple. It may be okay to start with, it’s not the only stat you should look at. There are many more factors that you should take into account that may affect the final outcome.
Checking Out the Ball Park
Another area where the game is unique is that the game surface changes at different ballparks. Every park has different proportions, which means that there are different distances from the home plate to different walls. Also, depending on what city the game is in, the height of the walls varies.
However, certain elements like bases and foul lines are all the same. It is the different elements that will affect how the gamer might play out.
Some of the ballparks are better for the hitters, whilst others are better for the bowlers ‘pitchers’. When making your bet, you need to research what parks benefit the hitters or pitchers when you try to handicap the game. You could also research whether the pitch is advantageous to left-handers or right-handers… then check out what team has most of each player.
A Team’s Recent Performance
Obviously, it goes without saying that you need to check out the recent performances of the teams. You can check if they are on a winning streak or a losing streak. You can see how many runs they have been scoring – or letting opponents score. How does their recent performance compare to the other team’s? The last few weeks’ performances are important if you want to predict the outcome.
How Far Have They Travelled?
Because the game is played in the US, this can mean that a team’s schedule can see it travelling long distances in short spaces of time. It’s definitely worth checking the team’s schedule. One team could have been playing a lot at home recently and the other may have had to travel from the East to West Coast for a morning game. This could mean tiredness, especially if travelling through a time zone. Obviously, this isn’t completely defining, but especially by the end of the season, it can really make a difference to a team’s performance.
Who’s the Umpire?
Like any sporting game – the ref or umpire can have a huge influence on the outcome of the game. Some umpires in baseball have what’s known as ‘tighter strike zones’ that others do. So, if there’s an ‘ace pitcher’ and the umpire calls for a loose game, then this is disadvantageous to hitters. If you give a talented pitcher a larger striking zone, then the hitters are going to have a harder time. So, if you combine an ace pitcher with an umpire who generally calls for a loose zone, often you should bet ‘Under’.
Conversely, if you have an unknown pitcher making a debut and he is paired with an umpire who likes to call for a smaller strike zone, we are likely to see a pitcher who will give up runs.
Then there may be an umpire who generally calls fewer strikes – which means that more hitters will reach the base. If this is the case, this is the perfect scenario for scoring a lot of runs; therefore, it’ be a wise move to bet ‘Over’.
If you do your umpire homework, this is a great opportunity to help you with your Over/Under bets.
Your Standard Baseball Bets
Parlays aren’t always going to be the best option for you when baseball betting at an online sportsbook. However, there will be many great parlay opportunities that you might want to take advantage of over a Major Baseball League season – Here are some ideas of parlays you might choose to utilize:
Parlay of Two Strong Favourites
This is a very easy and straightforward baseball betting strategy. It is ideal for beginners because it doesn’t expose you to too much risk; however, this also means that the rewards aren’t as exciting. Having said that, it pays out better than if you bet on the two favourites separately. This is a great way of betting on favourites and making a little more money and not having to put a big stake to make a small gain.
Parlay: Pairing a Hot Favourite with Underdogs
This strategy is yet another smart way which balances risk with the chance of winning. This is another strategy that is great for beginners. To do this, first, you need to identify a strong favourite that is expected to win. You then play that pick on two or more different parlay tickets; you pair that favourite with different underdogs on different parlay cards.
E.g. Pick a strong favourite, the identify two or more underdogs. You make two or more separate parlay bets. The different parlay bets will have the same favourite but a different underdog.
Correlating Your Parlays
If you correlate your parlays, this is a basic way of being able to bet on a game, allowing you to make several different bets of the same team within the same game. E.g. if you bet on a team with a good offence to win, then it would make sense to pair it with an ‘Over’ bet.
Conversely, if you choose to bet on a team that is good defensively, then it makes sense to believe that if they win, the score will be ‘Under’. This is a great way of capitalizing on a bet that you believe will be successful.
When you pick a winner, you need to project the outcome of the game in your mind. The complexity of your correlated parlays all depends on how seriously you take your baseball betting.
Keep Your Parlays Diverse
Just imagine that in one week, you have chosen four games that you feel confident enough to make a bet on. You might well be tempted to play them all on one single parlay card and wait for a big payout. This is obviously a decent option, but if you cast your net wider, you’ll give yourself a better chance of winning. A bigger chance with a slightly smaller percentage of wins. If only one of your pick loses, then you’ll lose all of your money if you have just the one ticket. If you keep it diverse, only one of your tickets will lose.
Find Your Niche and Follow It
If you follow the big teams in the big events, getting good odds is going to be tough. Therefore, you should focus on the less popular teams or even identify a particular niche to focus on. This may be a specific bet type or a particular criterion that you look for before placing a bet.
If you develop a speciality or niche, you will have your own knowledge that you can use to exploit the online sportsbook.
If you want to be a successful baseball bettor, there isn’t an exact science. You will always need to track the different factors that will affect the outcome of the game. You need to look at starting pitchers and bullpens, check out the ballpark and the umpires. You need to understand the data which will keep you one step ahead of the sportsbooks.